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obama is now leadinging in the latest polling from all nine battleground states. particularly a problem tonight is florida. the latest cbs poll shows obama ahead by nine points in florida. so, is this true? you may have heard about this. many on the right saying the polls are skewed. they're unfair. here is why republican strategist karl rove who knows polls and elections better than anyone says these polls can't possibly be right. >> think about this. romney and obama get each roughly the same percentage of the republicans and democrats as their opponent. that is to say they carry their base overwhelmingly. romney among independents is winning by three points, so if romney's winning the independents and republicans, do you think in a battleground state like florida, he's nine points down? the answer is no. >> okay. that math doesn't actually work out because according to the florida poll, those who say they're most likely going to vote, 36% say they're democrats, 27% republicans and 33% independents, so as you can see, the math that karl rove laid out doesn't nec
obama is now leadinging in the latest polling from all nine battleground states. particularly a problem tonight is florida. the latest cbs poll shows obama ahead by nine points in florida. so, is this true? you may have heard about this. many on the right saying the polls are skewed. they're unfair. here is why republican strategist karl rove who knows polls and elections better than anyone says these polls can't possibly be right. >> think about this. romney and obama get each roughly...
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Sep 27, 2012
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a lot of polls and averaging them, 50%-44% barack obama in the lead. so he has a single digit lead. that's something that the obama campaign is happy about. but that isn't really a comparable enough lead where they would be saying this is in the bag or something like this. the other thing you have to consider is that virginia is where you've got a marquee senate race taking place. tim kaine, former dnc chair, facing off against republican george allen, former governor, former senator. and this is a race remember virginia 2006 determined that democrats would have the majority in the senate. when you look at that senate race, tim kaine is leading by single digits. so right now, president obama is trying to kind of widen the gap for himself and also in the senate rate. >> interesting numbers. and we should also mention if you can even hear me with all the cheering behind you that that poll of polls does not have a margin of error. so those numbers are those numbers. brianna keilar, thank you. i'll let you get back to your busy day. >>> in the meantime, th
a lot of polls and averaging them, 50%-44% barack obama in the lead. so he has a single digit lead. that's something that the obama campaign is happy about. but that isn't really a comparable enough lead where they would be saying this is in the bag or something like this. the other thing you have to consider is that virginia is where you've got a marquee senate race taking place. tim kaine, former dnc chair, facing off against republican george allen, former governor, former senator. and this...
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Sep 29, 2012
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polls for the obama campaign, do they show it like gallup, like cnn or tighter like rasmusen? >> well, we're -- >> come on. >> we're not focused internally or externally on the national polls. we're focused on seven to nine states, as i'm sure the romney team is as well. some, we're close, some we have more of a lead on. but it doesn't matter because we have 38 days to go and we need our supporters to turn out. it doesn't matter unless they cast their vote. so that's what our focus is is now. turning people out. it's already game day. early voting is happening and we need to keep our focus on november 6th. >> so, matt, what is it really about? i keep hearing, people are talking about getting the base out and that it comes down to the base. we had on one of the preachers saying it's all about the base. mitt romney needs to get the base out, but you said no, it's about those independents. those people who aren't on either side. am i saying too much to say you're saying it's not about the base? >> no, i just think people get confused with elections. they try to act like maybe a r
polls for the obama campaign, do they show it like gallup, like cnn or tighter like rasmusen? >> well, we're -- >> come on. >> we're not focused internally or externally on the national polls. we're focused on seven to nine states, as i'm sure the romney team is as well. some, we're close, some we have more of a lead on. but it doesn't matter because we have 38 days to go and we need our supporters to turn out. it doesn't matter unless they cast their vote. so that's what our...
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Oct 2, 2012
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i have a poll here about who's likely to win the debate and very clearly, people think that obama will, 55% to 31%. yet, i would say that the favorite really ought to be mitt romney, purely because he spent most of the year debating against very good debaters like newt gingrich and rick santorum and others. they were very capable opponents on a debate stage. barack obama hasn't done this for four years. so i would think the advantage would definitely be with the apparent underdog, a, because people don't think he's going to win and i think he may well win that first debate and secondly, because he's the more experienced debater. >> well, i think i would caution you a little bit. i think the president, when he has given kind of press interviews, that is a form of being pressed on things so maybe you're not debating another opponent one-on-one, but you are going through the process of answering questions and tough questions and people are not letting you squirm out of things. i think you do have to pull that down a little bit. i do believe that mitt romney has not demonstrated that he's
i have a poll here about who's likely to win the debate and very clearly, people think that obama will, 55% to 31%. yet, i would say that the favorite really ought to be mitt romney, purely because he spent most of the year debating against very good debaters like newt gingrich and rick santorum and others. they were very capable opponents on a debate stage. barack obama hasn't done this for four years. so i would think the advantage would definitely be with the apparent underdog, a, because...
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right now president obama seems safely ahead in all of the polling. pennsylvania is actually the kind of state that mitt romney's promise a year ago he was going to be able to put into play the same way john mccain's promise was supposedly that. the reason why pennsylvania has become so solid democratic they've won in each of the past five elections is largely because theuburbs outsi philadelphia, white collar, affluent, right of center economically, left of center social issues have moved decisively towards the democrats. originally mitt romney was seen as a candidate who could appeal to those voters. but he's not making ma inroads there. as a result pennsylvania seems out of reach in an reastic scenario. >> he was doing so fund raising there. that may be the major reason while he's there although the aides ar being a bit coy pretending they think it's realistic to get the democrats that a sthere. wouldn't be first time. >> we'll see if they put any television montimeey or i that. >> let's see if they t up ere with some money. you've been taking a cl
right now president obama seems safely ahead in all of the polling. pennsylvania is actually the kind of state that mitt romney's promise a year ago he was going to be able to put into play the same way john mccain's promise was supposedly that. the reason why pennsylvania has become so solid democratic they've won in each of the past five elections is largely because theuburbs outsi philadelphia, white collar, affluent, right of center economically, left of center social issues have moved...
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Sep 30, 2012
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president obama has sewed up the -- surged in the polls this week, and republicans have been quick to figure out the problem. mitt romney. peggy noonan said his rolling campaign has been a calamity. shouldn't it puz puzzle us that romney's campaign is so incompetent, given his reputation for, well, competence. after all he founded one of the leading firms, turned around the salt lake city olympics and was a very successful governor. how did he get so clumsy so fast? in fact, the problem is not romney. but the new republican party, given the direction it has moved and pressures from the extreme, powerful elements, any nominee would face the same challenge. can you be a serious candidate for the general election while not outraging the republican base? fox news anchor brit hume refused to dwell on romney's economic policies he would put in place. why wouldn't mitt romney fluent in economics explain his economic policy? because any sensible answer would cause a firestorm in his party. it's obvious with a deficit of more of 7% of gross domestic product, any solution to our budgetary probl
president obama has sewed up the -- surged in the polls this week, and republicans have been quick to figure out the problem. mitt romney. peggy noonan said his rolling campaign has been a calamity. shouldn't it puz puzzle us that romney's campaign is so incompetent, given his reputation for, well, competence. after all he founded one of the leading firms, turned around the salt lake city olympics and was a very successful governor. how did he get so clumsy so fast? in fact, the problem is not...
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Oct 1, 2012
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. >> first off, there was a nice pivot by ben, but president obama won north carolina last time around and i think it should give them pause, but when you look at these polls and i've said this before, we expect this to be very tight. down to election day. in these battleground states across the country, so i think that you know, what you're saying is that bounce that president obama had coming out of the democratic convention has gone away. it's dissipated and more americans are looking at the romney ryan ticket as one that will address issues and will deliver a plan that has impact on middle class americans, that will bring down taxes for all americans. period. there's only one candidate that's actually talking about raising taxes and there's another candidate, the romney ryan ticket, that will cut taxes for all americans. so i think as we go into this, we'll hear a lot more of that. obviously at the debate and this is the next phase f that campaign. >> mitt romney leads according to our poll, on unemployment and the deficit. let me ask you this, ben, because one thing our viewers ma
. >> first off, there was a nice pivot by ben, but president obama won north carolina last time around and i think it should give them pause, but when you look at these polls and i've said this before, we expect this to be very tight. down to election day. in these battleground states across the country, so i think that you know, what you're saying is that bounce that president obama had coming out of the democratic convention has gone away. it's dissipated and more americans are looking...
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polls, obama is doing really well in pennsylvania. maybe he's got some private polls that he's doing inside his campaign that shows some other trends developing in pennsylvania. i haven't seen any public polls that would indicate he's got a shot in pennsylvania. i also haven't seen any indication that the romney campaign is spending any campaign money advertising in pennsylvania. if they are, it is really not much. but as i say, maybe there is something that his campaign knows that we don't yet know becae righnow it looks like obama is doing really, really well innsylnia. and the surrounding new jersey, new york, or maryland for that matter. i roey doeshave a sho viouslin some of the other states like ohio, not that far away, but pennlvania looks like a long shot. he w doing som fd-raising there earlier today, had a rally in pennsylvania, but see if this is serious, this notion that he p has a shot pennsylvani it would be a amatic shift. >> wow,e h,wolf, a lot of s real turning ich begi wednesday in denver. no we also have received th
polls, obama is doing really well in pennsylvania. maybe he's got some private polls that he's doing inside his campaign that shows some other trends developing in pennsylvania. i haven't seen any public polls that would indicate he's got a shot in pennsylvania. i also haven't seen any indication that the romney campaign is spending any campaign money advertising in pennsylvania. if they are, it is really not much. but as i say, maybe there is something that his campaign knows that we don't yet...
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there was a poll suffolk university had out just tonight that had obama up by two. so it is true you've got obama up in swing states like virginia by small margins. but there's become this narrative that's really developed over the last week that the race is starting to get away from governor romney that i think is not really founded in necessarily good data. you know, out of five polls that will come out in the week, there's always one poll that will show some margin where it shows obama winning a state like virginia or ohio or florida by a margin that's greater than he won it in 2008. i think governor romney's a stronger candidate. i think the fundamentals are better for republicans. i have a very hard time believing some of these polls that are showing, you know, obama up by ten points in a place like ohio, and especially virginia. i do expect to be in the republican column come november. >> charles blow, one of the reasons people are believing this momentum is that every poll now appears to be widening. that may be an exaggeration. i'm sure we can find one or tw
there was a poll suffolk university had out just tonight that had obama up by two. so it is true you've got obama up in swing states like virginia by small margins. but there's become this narrative that's really developed over the last week that the race is starting to get away from governor romney that i think is not really founded in necessarily good data. you know, out of five polls that will come out in the week, there's always one poll that will show some margin where it shows obama...
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this is the latest cnn orc poll of latino voters. president obama, the clear favorite over mitt romney, leading 70% to 26%. you can fairly say that's not even close and it is well outside the margin of error and that's critical because you know there is a saying that there is power in numbers. at least 12.2 million people expected to show up at the polls on election day. but that's barely half of latinos who are eligible to vote. and it could come down to location, location, location. the hispanic vote could be the deciding factor in several states, including the swing state of nevada. which is where miguel marquez takes us in the battle to win their vote. >> reporter: it might sound like mexico. but this is the fight for the white house. welcome to washo county, nevada, the front line in this battleground state. washo county's 250,000 voters are expected to decide whether the nevada goes blue or red. and latinos, about 30,000 votes here, could make the critical difference in a race that could come down to a few thousand votes. here'
this is the latest cnn orc poll of latino voters. president obama, the clear favorite over mitt romney, leading 70% to 26%. you can fairly say that's not even close and it is well outside the margin of error and that's critical because you know there is a saying that there is power in numbers. at least 12.2 million people expected to show up at the polls on election day. but that's barely half of latinos who are eligible to vote. and it could come down to location, location, location. the...
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Sep 25, 2012
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the latest national cnn poll has president obama with a four point lead over governor romney against the backdrop of the political race in this country and turmoil in the middle east, it seemed the perfect time to sit down with ahmadinejad at his world hotel for a world exclusive on everything from the political to the personal. mr. president, welcome to new york. many americans see you at public enemy number one. how do you feel about that? >> translator: the creator, the almighty and most gracious and the most merciful, good morning to you. i wish to greet all of the wonderful people of the united states and all of the people who will see your program. at the end of the day, if you do have personal animosity towards me, don't transfer that on to the rest of the people of the united states. we love the people of the united states and they also wish in return peace and stability for all of the world. >> you've come here to make a speech to the united nations. many are saying it's the most important speech of your life. do you feel that? >> translator: no. this is not the most importa
the latest national cnn poll has president obama with a four point lead over governor romney against the backdrop of the political race in this country and turmoil in the middle east, it seemed the perfect time to sit down with ahmadinejad at his world hotel for a world exclusive on everything from the political to the personal. mr. president, welcome to new york. many americans see you at public enemy number one. how do you feel about that? >> translator: the creator, the almighty and...
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it's something more and more polls of independents and conservatives both say they feel the media has behaved badly. >> but president obama and people have gone to his -- to hawaii, traced his record, gone to kenya, talked to his relatives, gone to indonesia. we have sent people around the world. how has he not been vetted? >> well, consider this. this year, the new yorker wrote a huge spread on michele bachmann and her faith and religion, getting a lot of the theology wrong what she believes. in 2008, john mccain was endorsed by several pastors and it became multi-day stories in the media about john mccain's endorsements but the jeremiah wright stuff, you talk to a lot of reporters, they say barack obama never went to jeremiah wright's church. he just used that to build his political career in chicago. i as a conservative really don't think the media has portrayed barack obama's relationship with jeremiah wright as he himself did in 2008 and i still think that's a relevant topic. >> actually, bryce, let me bring you in here. then candidate obama in 2008 did make that speech in which
it's something more and more polls of independents and conservatives both say they feel the media has behaved badly. >> but president obama and people have gone to his -- to hawaii, traced his record, gone to kenya, talked to his relatives, gone to indonesia. we have sent people around the world. how has he not been vetted? >> well, consider this. this year, the new yorker wrote a huge spread on michele bachmann and her faith and religion, getting a lot of the theology wrong what...
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Sep 26, 2012
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the latest polls show that people trust obama more now with the economy. this economy issue solely is a losing issue for romney as the economy improves, but also it fails to reck thiz people care about other things other than just the economy. >> pastor jeffers, if i may, i was making the distinction about not just the economy, but deficit and debt. so, i appreciate your desire to have your nominee really focus on playing to the base in the religious right. that is your prerogative, but you can't rewrite polls to say that's a winning strategy when it comes to reaching out. >> what i'm saying to you is that i think the hunt for these elusive independent or undecided voters out there is going to be a losing strategy. it was in 2008 for john mccain. i think it will be this time. i'm not saying he has to make these social issues the heart of every stump speech he gives. i just say when it comes to debates over the next few weeks, he can't go wobbly or hesitate about these important issues to us. >> thank you very much, gentlemen. of course, the the big questio
the latest polls show that people trust obama more now with the economy. this economy issue solely is a losing issue for romney as the economy improves, but also it fails to reck thiz people care about other things other than just the economy. >> pastor jeffers, if i may, i was making the distinction about not just the economy, but deficit and debt. so, i appreciate your desire to have your nominee really focus on playing to the base in the religious right. that is your prerogative, but...
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suggest that barack obama right now would win. how has he managed to avoid public retribution for not fixing the economy better than he has done? >> because this is not a normal time, and the damage done to the economy could not be fully repaired in four years, and most of the debt that's been run up on his watch is a direct result of the economic collapse, first the recession that began in 2007 and the economic collapse that happened in 2008, which has driven tax revenues down below 15% of income for the first time in 50 years, and driven spending above 21% of income, because so many people are on unemployment and food stamps and medicaid. medical assistance. if we had -- when the economy recovers a higher rate of growth, which it will in the next year or so, what's going to happen is with nothing happening, tax receipts will go up to about 17%, spending will drop to under 21%. there will still be a substantial deficit but it will be much smaller. president obama's main contribution to this $16 billion debt which is -- a $1 trill
suggest that barack obama right now would win. how has he managed to avoid public retribution for not fixing the economy better than he has done? >> because this is not a normal time, and the damage done to the economy could not be fully repaired in four years, and most of the debt that's been run up on his watch is a direct result of the economic collapse, first the recession that began in 2007 and the economic collapse that happened in 2008, which has driven tax revenues down below 15%...
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national polls show president obama ahead by at least five points. i'll talk to some great minds about what needs to happen in the next seven weeks for both the president and the man who wants his job. >>> and a startling statistic. four out of five black women in america are either overweight or obese. but this group is bucking the trend. they're called black girls run. >> it's about defeating the statistics that are saying that, you know what, we're dying because of obesity and diabetes and heart disease. so, we all set? i've got two tickets to paradise! pack your bags, we'll leave tonight. uhh, it's next month, actually... eddie continues singing: to tickets to... paradiiiiiise! no four. remember? whoooa whooaa whooo! you know ronny, folks who save hundreds of dollars by switching to geico sure are happy. and how happy are they jimmy? happier than eddie money running a travel agency. get happy. get geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more. romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. whe
national polls show president obama ahead by at least five points. i'll talk to some great minds about what needs to happen in the next seven weeks for both the president and the man who wants his job. >>> and a startling statistic. four out of five black women in america are either overweight or obese. but this group is bucking the trend. they're called black girls run. >> it's about defeating the statistics that are saying that, you know what, we're dying because of obesity and...
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a brand new cnn/orc poll by the way shows most voters expect president obama to be tonight's big winner. 56% of likely voters out there think the president will do a better job in the debates. only 32% say mitt romney will do a better job. that low number may be mitt romney's big opportunity though. let's discuss with our chief political analyst gloria borger. are these debates, gloria, always harder for incumbents? >> i think it is. you look at the expectation game. people understand that president obama is a great speaker, they've seen him do other debates in the past. and they kind of remember them and think he's the sitting president, he'll do a better job. so he's got expectations running against him. then the other thing for the challenger is remember, wolf, this is really the first time that mitt romney and barack obama will be at the same level. so just by showing up to a certain degree mitt romney gets elevated standing on the same stage with the president. and here's another thing about the president, he has to defend his record without seeming to be defensive about it. and th
a brand new cnn/orc poll by the way shows most voters expect president obama to be tonight's big winner. 56% of likely voters out there think the president will do a better job in the debates. only 32% say mitt romney will do a better job. that low number may be mitt romney's big opportunity though. let's discuss with our chief political analyst gloria borger. are these debates, gloria, always harder for incumbents? >> i think it is. you look at the expectation game. people understand...
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the latest polls show he is trailing obama. he is 46% in that state. that's still pretty -- that's a very small margin there when you think about the fact that he didn't even support the auto bailout. why so competitive, your former state of michigan? >> well, i -- listen, is he going to lose michigan, and is he going to lose michigan because he stabbed us in the back when we were on our knees, and he continues to do it. michigan, though, is a purplish state. when i was elect as a democrat, i had a republican house, republican senate, republican supreme court, republican attorney general. so it's not a democratic state necessarily. it is, you know, a state that can go either way. he is going to lose because he really hurt us by taking out that op ed that said let detroit go bankrupt. it's not going to be forgotten. >> we'll leave it there. jennifer granholm, good to see you, as always. >> great to see you too, suzanne. thank you. >> thank you. >>> in conservative media outlets are behind a campaign of what they're calling a message mystery here. they'r
the latest polls show he is trailing obama. he is 46% in that state. that's still pretty -- that's a very small margin there when you think about the fact that he didn't even support the auto bailout. why so competitive, your former state of michigan? >> well, i -- listen, is he going to lose michigan, and is he going to lose michigan because he stabbed us in the back when we were on our knees, and he continues to do it. michigan, though, is a purplish state. when i was elect as a...
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there are lots of polls, but certain polls show the public expects obama to win this debate. but you point out in your piece that the obama team was to at least convince people that these date d debates really don't matter. why is that? >> it is interesting that they're trying to spin things that way. my theory is that they're worried that because the president's reputation as a fantastic speaker and he is a good speaker that the audience will be tuning in expecting to see obama win. and if romney just holds his own, if he just lands a few punches, then the audience might actually think that romney won. so i suspect team obama is trying to lower expectations trying to say the debates don't matter precisely because they're worried that mitt romney will do a good job. >> speaking of throwing punches, let's go back to primary season, it was mitt romney really in his big win taking florida that was quite impressive for the former massachusetts governor. let me just -- in case we have forgotten his abilities, take a look. >> i wanteople to be able to take their insurance with them
there are lots of polls, but certain polls show the public expects obama to win this debate. but you point out in your piece that the obama team was to at least convince people that these date d debates really don't matter. why is that? >> it is interesting that they're trying to spin things that way. my theory is that they're worried that because the president's reputation as a fantastic speaker and he is a good speaker that the audience will be tuning in expecting to see obama win. and...
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Sep 25, 2012
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poll after poll shows, you know, that romney how has -- excuse me, obama has an advantage on the economy. even obama has an advantage on xes, last time democrats had an advantage on taxes was, you know, probably when the dodgers were still in brooklyn. you know, the romney campaign thinks that these images, you know, a lot of people overseas, undermine voters confidence in obama so they're going to keep pressing this. the vice presidential candidate, paul ryan, was in ohio yesterday. listen to what he had to say about obama's foreign policy. >> i think the president on too many occasions has deferred our foreign policy leadership to the u.n. security council, to the u.n. this means russia and china get to veto what we want to do. why do we want to give them that kind of clout over our national security interests? >> ryan also compared obama to jimmy carter saying these images of violence overseas looks like tehran in 1979, that hostage crisis that undercut carter's re-election bid. you know, this is really fascinating, john. this is the main thrust of the romney campaign right now, is fo
poll after poll shows, you know, that romney how has -- excuse me, obama has an advantage on the economy. even obama has an advantage on xes, last time democrats had an advantage on taxes was, you know, probably when the dodgers were still in brooklyn. you know, the romney campaign thinks that these images, you know, a lot of people overseas, undermine voters confidence in obama so they're going to keep pressing this. the vice presidential candidate, paul ryan, was in ohio yesterday. listen to...